Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.023473 0.025487 0.027592 0.029958 0.032544 0.035288 0.038420
2025-07-27 0.020141 0.023042 0.026250 0.030064 0.034483 0.039452 0.045475
2025-08-03 0.017790 0.021153 0.025027 0.029832 0.035648 0.042482 0.051153
2025-08-10 0.016339 0.020046 0.024463 0.030134 0.037251 0.045925 0.057359
2025-08-17 0.014871 0.018734 0.023469 0.029728 0.037828 0.048017 0.061895
2025-08-24 0.013617 0.017557 0.022508 0.029225 0.038158 0.049713 0.065922
2025-08-31 0.012657 0.016666 0.021820 0.028978 0.038740 0.051695 0.070368
2025-09-07 0.011837 0.015890 0.021210 0.028762 0.039300 0.053623 0.074798
2025-09-14 0.011146 0.015233 0.020702 0.028625 0.039924 0.055628 0.079405
2025-09-21 0.010465 0.014541 0.020094 0.028293 0.040222 0.057152 0.083368
2025-09-28 0.009987 0.014099 0.019801 0.028372 0.041089 0.059510 0.088662
2025-10-05 0.009479 0.013583 0.019365 0.028207 0.041569 0.061297 0.093170
2025-10-12 0.009032 0.013149 0.019051 0.028244 0.042412 0.063767 0.099046
2025-10-19 0.008654 0.012798 0.018841 0.028427 0.043495 0.066680 0.105849
2025-10-26 0.008204 0.012313 0.018400 0.028222 0.043949 0.068622 0.111198
2025-11-02 0.007917 0.012055 0.018285 0.028509 0.045184 0.071859 0.118879
2025-11-09 0.007491 0.011559 0.017772 0.028127 0.045303 0.073274 0.123553
2025-11-16 0.007078 0.011059 0.017225 0.027654 0.045232 0.074354 0.127693
2025-11-23 0.006749 0.010676 0.016841 0.027421 0.045541 0.076073 0.133047
2025-11-30 0.006450 0.010325 0.016488 0.027217 0.045878 0.077844 0.138592
2025-12-07 0.006186 0.010019 0.016193 0.027089 0.046330 0.079828 0.144640
2025-12-14 0.005904 0.009667 0.015803 0.026775 0.046432 0.081185 0.149591
2025-12-21 0.005713 0.009459 0.015643 0.026850 0.047224 0.083820 0.157131